{"id":12371,"date":"2021-10-29T08:34:54","date_gmt":"2021-10-29T08:34:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.congoresearchgroup.org\/?p=12371"},"modified":"2021-11-11T14:09:24","modified_gmt":"2021-11-11T14:09:24","slug":"la-rdc-peut-elle-sortir-de-letat-de-siege","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.congoresearchgroup.org\/fr\/2021\/10\/29\/la-rdc-peut-elle-sortir-de-letat-de-siege\/","title":{"rendered":"La RDC peut-elle sortir de l&rsquo;\u00e9tat de si\u00e8ge ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">Cette semaine, les relev&eacute;s du<strong>&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/kivusecurity.org\/\">Barom&egrave;tre s&eacute;curitaire du Kivu<\/a><\/strong>&nbsp;ont franchi une barre tragique et symbolique : la mort de plus de 1000 civils a &eacute;t&eacute; enregistr&eacute;e au Nord-Kivu et en Ituri depuis l&rsquo;instauration de l&rsquo;&eacute;tat de si&egrave;ge dans ces deux provinces, le 6 mai dernier. &nbsp;Pourtant, tout laisse croire que le pr&eacute;sident F&eacute;lix Tshisekedi va continuer &agrave; prolonger cette mesure. Pourquoi ? &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">Bonjour. Nous sommes le vendredi 29 octobre et vous &eacute;coutez le 37e num&eacute;ro de&nbsp;<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/podcast.ausha.co\/po-na-gec\">Po na GEC<\/a><\/strong>, la capsule audio du&nbsp;<strong>Groupe d&rsquo;&eacute;tude sur le Congo<\/strong>&nbsp;de l&rsquo;Universit&eacute; de New-York, qui tente d&rsquo;&eacute;clairer l&rsquo;actualit&eacute; de la RDC. Je suis&nbsp;<strong>Pierre Boisselet<\/strong>, le coordonnateur du<strong>&nbsp;Barom&egrave;tre s&eacute;curitaire du Kivu<\/strong>, et cette semaine, nous nous int&eacute;ressons &agrave; l&rsquo;&eacute;tat de si&egrave;ge.<\/p>\n\n\n<p><iframe frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\" id=\"ausha-H2NA\" height=\"220\" style=\"border: none; width:100%; height:220px\" src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/index.html?podcastId=BxwdVI2DlKRA&amp;playlist=false&amp;color=%23de8d33&amp;v=3&amp;playerId=ausha-H2NA\"><\/iframe><script src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/ausha-player.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">Cela fait bient&ocirc;t six mois que cette mesure a &eacute;t&eacute; mise en place par le pr&eacute;sident de la R&eacute;publique. Et jusque-l&agrave;, les chiffres ne montrent aucun bilan positif. Non seulement les tueries de civils se sont poursuivies. Mais elles se sont poursuivies au m&ecirc;me rythme qu&rsquo;avant l&rsquo;&eacute;tat de si&egrave;ge.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">En r&eacute;alit&eacute;, les effets de cette mesure n&rsquo;ont pas &eacute;t&eacute; ceux qui &eacute;taient attendus. Des militaires et policiers ont pris possession des administrations civiles dans les provinces, territoires, et villes &nbsp;du Nord-Kivu et de l&rsquo;Ituri. Ils ont &eacute;t&eacute; largement accapar&eacute;s &nbsp;par cette charges. Et tr&egrave;s peu de moyens suppl&eacute;mentaires leur ont &eacute;t&eacute; fournis. &nbsp;Cons&eacute;quence paradoxale : &agrave; l&rsquo;exception notable du territoire de Djugu, en Ituri, l&rsquo;activit&eacute; de l&rsquo;arm&eacute;e congolaise sur le terrain a en r&eacute;alit&eacute; diminu&eacute; depuis l&rsquo;instauration de l&rsquo;&eacute;tat de si&egrave;ge.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">Le rapport de la Commission d&eacute;fense et s&eacute;curit&eacute; de l&rsquo;Assembl&eacute;e nationale, qui a auditionn&eacute; les ministres concern&eacute;s au mois d&rsquo;ao&ucirc;t, dresse un &eacute;tat des lieux accablant : &laquo; la proclamation de l&rsquo;&eacute;tat de si&egrave;ge n&rsquo;a pas &eacute;t&eacute; sous-tendue par une planification d&rsquo;actions strat&eacute;giques de l&rsquo;&eacute;tat de si&egrave;ge. Elle l&rsquo;a &eacute;t&eacute; sans un montage financier cons&eacute;quent et coh&eacute;rent, sans d&eacute;finition d&rsquo;objectifs militaires et sans un chronogramme d&rsquo;actions strat&eacute;giques, op&eacute;rationnelles et tactiques &raquo;.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">Sur le terrain, l&rsquo;opinion semble de plus en plus sceptique. Lors du dernier&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/congoresearchgroup.org\/rapport-sondage-gec-berci-la-rdc-face-a-la-demobilisation-politique-perte-de-confiance-et-risque-dune-abstention-elevee\/?lang=fr\"><strong>sondage du Groupe d&rsquo;&eacute;tude sur le Congo et de la Fondation &nbsp;Berci<\/strong>,<\/a>&nbsp;r&eacute;alis&eacute;e en septembre, 66% des personnes interrog&eacute;es dans les provinces du Kivu et de l&rsquo;Ituri estimaient que la situation s&eacute;curitaire s&rsquo;&eacute;tait d&eacute;grad&eacute;e depuis &nbsp;l&rsquo;investiture &nbsp;du gouvernement actuel, au mois d&rsquo;avril. Malgr&eacute; cela, le pr&eacute;sident Tshisekedi ne montre aucun signe de remettre en cause sa d&eacute;cision. Lors de l&rsquo;Assembl&eacute;e g&eacute;n&eacute;rale de l&rsquo;ONU, &agrave; New-York, le 21 septembre, il a m&ecirc;me dit qu&rsquo;il la l&egrave;verait lorsque &laquo; les circonstances qui l&rsquo;ont motiv&eacute; dispara&icirc;tront &raquo;.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">Ce discours est tr&egrave;s diff&eacute;rent de celui de l&rsquo;instauration de l&rsquo;&eacute;tat de si&egrave;ge, qui pr&eacute;voyait une p&eacute;riode courte, d&rsquo;un mois &agrave; l&rsquo;origine. Ce changement &nbsp;pourrait inscrire le pays dans un pi&egrave;ge : celui d&rsquo;une mesure &nbsp;inefficace, &nbsp;mais malgr&eacute; tout maintenue ind&eacute;finiment .&nbsp;Alors, pourquoi le pr&eacute;sident tient-il tant &agrave; cette mesure ? Il y a d&rsquo;abord une question de cr&eacute;dit politique : revenir en arri&egrave;re, alors que les tueries se poursuivent manifestement, serait un aveu d&rsquo;&eacute;chec difficile &agrave; assumer devant l&rsquo;opinion. Ensuite, en d&eacute;pit d&rsquo;une d&eacute;fiance croissante dans l&rsquo;Est, la mesure demeure tr&egrave;s populaire au plan national : 63% des Congolais interrog&eacute; s lors du sondage de septembre jugeaient que c&rsquo;&eacute;tait une bonne chose. D&rsquo;un point de vue strictement politicien, cette mesure pr&eacute;sente des avantages : elle donne l&rsquo;impression d&rsquo;une action sur le probl&egrave;me, quand bien m&ecirc;me aucun effort r&eacute;el ne serait consenti.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">De mani&egrave;re plus pernicieuse, les militaires qui ont obtenu, gr&acirc;ce &agrave; cette mesure, des postes et l&rsquo;acc&egrave;s &agrave; des ressources, n&rsquo;ont pas &nbsp;d&rsquo;int&eacute;r&ecirc;t personnel &agrave; ce qu&rsquo;elle prenne fin. On peut &nbsp;imaginer qu&rsquo;ils ne fassent remonter que les informations qui les arrangent, dissimulent leurs pertes, pourtant nombreuses, et communiquent constamment sur des progr&egrave;s, sans jamais atteindre &nbsp;une paix v&eacute;ritable. Une mani&egrave;re de sortir de ce cycle inqui&eacute;tant serait que le parlement joue pleinement son r&ocirc;le de contr&ocirc;le de l&rsquo;ex&eacute;cutif, &eacute;value objectivement cette mesure, et, s&rsquo;il l&rsquo;estime n&eacute;cessaire, s&rsquo;oppose &agrave; sa reconduction &nbsp;ou la conditionne &agrave; des r&eacute;formes.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">Le rapport de la Commission d&eacute;fense et s&eacute;curit&eacute;, dont des extraits sont parus dans Jeune Afrique, pourrait &ecirc;tre une &eacute;tape importante s&rsquo;il permettait l&rsquo;ouverture d&rsquo;un d&eacute;bat d&eacute;mocratique sur l&rsquo;&eacute;tat de si&egrave;ge. &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">Pour recevoir Po na GEC chaque vendredi sur votre t&eacute;l&eacute;phone, rejoignez notre fil WhatsApp en envoyant &laquo; GEC &raquo; au&nbsp;<strong>+243 894 110 542&nbsp;<\/strong>ou de cliquer sur&nbsp;<strong><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/wa.me\/message\/7ZROAHD3VADQD1\" target=\"_blank\">ici<\/a><\/strong>&nbsp;et d&rsquo;enregistrer notre num&eacute;ro. &Agrave; tr&egrave;s vite ! &nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">Retrouvez les &eacute;pisodes pr&eacute;c&eacute;dents de Po Na GEC sur&nbsp;<strong><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/smartlink.ausha.co\/po-na-gec\" target=\"_blank\">votre plateforme d&rsquo;&eacute;coute pr&eacute;f&eacute;r&eacute;e<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ceci est une retranscription du texte de l&rsquo;&eacute;pisode 37 de Po Na GEC, notre capsule audio qui tente d&rsquo;&eacute;clairer l&rsquo;actualit&eacute; en RDC<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[247,44],"tags":[261,57,129,262,263,73],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.8 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ceci est une retranscription du texte de l\u2019\u00e9pisode 37 de Po Na GEC, notre capsule 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