{"id":7076,"date":"2019-06-05T08:20:48","date_gmt":"2019-06-05T08:20:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.congoresearchgroup.org\/?p=7076"},"modified":"2020-06-15T23:49:02","modified_gmt":"2020-06-15T23:49:02","slug":"sondage-gecberci-les-elections-de-2018-et-les-100-premiers-jours-de-tshisekedi-au-pouvoir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.congoresearchgroup.org\/fr\/2019\/06\/05\/sondage-gecberci-les-elections-de-2018-et-les-100-premiers-jours-de-tshisekedi-au-pouvoir\/","title":{"rendered":"Sondage GEC\/BERCI: Les \u00e9lections de 2018 et les 100 premiers jours de Tshisekedi au pouvoir"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-wide is-core-separator-block\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\">\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:45px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n  <div id=\"anchor-nav-position-block_5ee808d41f110\" class=\"c-block-anchor-nav-position o-wrapper__inner\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px;\">\n    <div class=\"js-anchor-nav-position\"><\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"c-anchor-nav__mobile\">\n          <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"is-core-freeform-block\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\"><\/div>\n\n\n<p style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\" class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\">(<em>Le rapport entier peut &ecirc;tre&nbsp;consult&eacute; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.congoresearchgroup.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/Version-Fran%C3%A7aise-100-jours-Tshisekedi-OK-1.pdf\">ici<\/a>).&nbsp;<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\" class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\">Organis&eacute;es le 30 d&eacute;cembre 2018, apr&egrave;s deux ann&eacute;es de retard, les &eacute;lections pr&eacute;sidentielle et l&eacute;gislatives nationales en R&eacute;publique d&eacute;mocratique du Congo ont &eacute;t&eacute; entach&eacute;es des grandes controverses.&nbsp; La Commission &eacute;lectorale nationale ind&eacute;pendante (Ceni) a proclam&eacute; l&rsquo;opposant F&eacute;lix Tshisekedi comme le grand gagnant du scrutin pr&eacute;sidentiel. Mais une fuite de la m&ecirc;me commission et une documentation de l&rsquo;Eglise catholique indiquent que ce serait plut&ocirc;t Martin Fayulu, un autre leader de l&rsquo;opposition, qui aurait clairement remport&eacute; les &eacute;lections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\" class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\">En d&eacute;pit de cette pol&eacute;mique, la sc&egrave;ne post-&eacute;lectorale a &eacute;t&eacute; relativement stable et la population congolaise semble avoir accept&eacute; les r&eacute;sultats. L&rsquo;investiture de F&eacute;lix Tshisekedi a eu lieu le 24 janvier et le nouveau chef de l&rsquo;Etat a pass&eacute; les premiers mois de sa pr&eacute;sidence &agrave; voyager &agrave; l&rsquo;&eacute;tranger et &agrave; l&rsquo;int&eacute;rieur du pays. Pendant ce temps, Martin Fayulu a lanc&eacute; une campagne de contestation des r&eacute;sultats des urnes et a organis&eacute; des tourn&eacute;es dans plusieurs villes du pays.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\" class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\">Que pensent les Congolais de ces diff&eacute;rents &eacute;v&eacute;nements&nbsp;?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\" class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\">Afin d&rsquo;&eacute;valuer l&rsquo;opinion publique &agrave; ce moment crucial, le Groupe d&rsquo;&eacute;tude sur le Congo (GEC) de l&rsquo;Universit&eacute; de New York et le Bureau d&rsquo;&eacute;tudes, de recherche et de consulting international (Berci) ont conduit deux sondages t&eacute;l&eacute;phoniques repr&eacute;sentatifs, entre mars (1,212 personnes) et mai 2019 (1,294 personnes).&nbsp; En voici les conclusions :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:30px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\" class=\"is-core-paragraph-block has-space-small-mb\">Les Congolais &eacute;prouvent des sentiments contradictoires &agrave; l&rsquo;&eacute;gard des &eacute;lections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"is-core-list-block\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\"><li>Pr&egrave;s de la moiti&eacute; pensent que les &eacute;lections &eacute;taient truqu&eacute;es, mais ils acceptent tout de m&ecirc;me les r&eacute;sultats&nbsp;;<\/li><li>Une majorit&eacute; de r&eacute;pondants (56%) ne font pas confiance &agrave; la Ceni, et pourtant 62% sont satisfaits de la mani&egrave;re dont la d&eacute;mocratie fonctionne dans le pays.<\/li><li>Pr&egrave;s de 67% ont une opinion favorable des performances de F&eacute;lix Tshisekedi en tant que pr&eacute;sident de la R&eacute;publique. Un pourcentage d&rsquo;opinions favorables significativement plus &eacute;lev&eacute; que les deux pr&eacute;c&eacute;dents pr&eacute;sidents lors de leurs 100 premiers jours au pouvoir : Joseph Kabila (44%) en mars 2011 et Laurent-D&eacute;sir&eacute; Kabila (51%) en ao&ucirc;t 1997).<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"is-core-list-block\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:0px;padding-top:0px;padding-bottom:0px\"><li>Pour la premi&egrave;re fois depuis des ann&eacute;es, les r&eacute;pondants sont optimistes et pensent que le pays va dans la bonne direction: 51% en mars 2019, et 61% en mai 2019, une augmentation de 34% par rapport &agrave; novembre 2017.<\/li><li>Une nette majorit&eacute; de Congolais &nbsp;(53% en mars et 58% en mai 2019) d&eacute;sapprouvent l&rsquo;alliance actuelle entre la coalition du pr&eacute;sident F&eacute;lix Tshisekedi et celle de son pr&eacute;d&eacute;cesseur Joseph Kabila.<\/li><li>Contrairement aux r&eacute;sultats de d&eacute;cembre 2018, Martin Fayulu n&rsquo;est plus l&rsquo;homme politique le plus populaire du pays. En mai 2019, 48% des r&eacute;pondants avaient port&eacute; leur choix sur Fayulu pour devenir le chef de l&rsquo;opposition, une progression de 10% compar&eacute;e &agrave; mars dernier et un pourcentage deux fois plus que celui de Moise Katumbi ou de Jean-Pierre Bemba.<\/li><li>Les trois premi&egrave;res priorit&eacute;s pour le pr&eacute;sident nouvellement &eacute;lu cit&eacute;es par les r&eacute;pondants sont&nbsp;: &laquo;&nbsp;L&rsquo;am&eacute;lioration des conditions de vie, les moyens de subsistance et autres aspects &eacute;conomiques&nbsp;&raquo;, &laquo;&nbsp;la paix, la s&eacute;curit&eacute;, la r&eacute;forme des services de s&eacute;curit&eacute;, l&rsquo;&eacute;tat de droit et la lutte contre l&rsquo;impunit&eacute; &ndash; notamment en entamant des poursuites judiciaires contre Joseph Kabila et ses ministres&nbsp;&raquo; ainsi que &laquo;&nbsp;la r&eacute;habilitation ou la construction des infrastructures&nbsp;&raquo;.<\/li><li>En d&eacute;pit du fait que la plupart des r&eacute;pondants (57%) s&rsquo;informe gr&acirc;ce aux sources m&eacute;diatiques locales, les m&eacute;dias internationaux sont consid&eacute;r&eacute;s comme &eacute;tant plus neutres par la grande majorit&eacute; des personnes interrog&eacute;es (70% contre 53%).<\/li><\/ul>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(Le rapport entier peut &ecirc;tre&nbsp;consult&eacute; ici).&nbsp; Organis&eacute;es le 30 d&eacute;cembre 2018, apr&egrave;s deux ann&eacute;es de retard, les &eacute;lections pr&eacute;sidentielle et l&eacute;gislatives nationales en R&eacute;publique d&eacute;mocratique du Congo ont &eacute;t&eacute; entach&eacute;es&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7070,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31,40],"tags":[],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 4.9.8 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"(Le rapport entier peut \u00eatre consult\u00e9 ici). 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